Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 395.816960 449.287150 508.538480 579.276865 661.705095 755.048085 869.213279
2025-12-21 303.730164 370.572470 451.152729 556.252332 690.884805 859.143364 1087.826661
2025-12-28 270.028888 345.731306 442.332090 576.248931 759.626864 1005.675160 1367.200459
2026-01-04 247.389963 329.463479 439.209846 599.305496 831.309422 1162.315053 1683.311716
2026-01-11 223.815561 307.836858 424.606116 602.356675 872.606891 1279.082839 1958.588008
2026-01-18 200.771382 283.716680 402.804442 590.791650 888.693013 1357.930575 2185.472261
2026-01-25 181.816998 263.164073 383.390128 579.472534 902.110217 1432.325407 2415.205699
2026-02-01 172.079809 255.111774 381.451907 594.440590 958.653960 1584.062377 2805.720793
2026-02-08 159.747533 241.743276 369.671531 591.624796 984.193444 1685.030030 3119.927071
2026-02-15 148.291232 228.627515 356.859502 585.285738 1002.120993 1773.833651 3425.736246
2026-02-22 140.134156 220.047656 350.510837 589.087872 1038.294207 1901.109816 3834.178206
2026-03-01 130.507145 208.203194 337.549196 579.563982 1047.973925 1977.557842 4147.300421
2026-03-08 122.519854 198.692729 328.102991 576.106163 1070.238328 2085.503320 4561.878558
2026-03-15 112.294729 184.587469 309.483023 553.646946 1052.090987 2106.662236 4777.385635
2026-03-22 109.359698 182.932484 312.836887 573.483248 1122.854356 2331.260851 5549.972285
2026-03-29 107.021891 182.111507 317.560788 596.417198 1203.214248 2591.285268 6484.213490
2026-04-05 102.245248 176.468186 312.756988 599.450555 1240.305071 2756.015871 7200.214775
2026-04-12 96.094733 167.831872 301.536551 587.950301 1242.961800 2837.015897 7694.267412
2026-04-19 90.492405 159.838577 290.937180 576.694286 1244.724436 2916.091562 8204.566431
2026-04-26 88.230980 158.037567 292.360006 591.578844 1310.690718 3174.153896 9362.666243
2026-05-03 84.247615 152.624433 286.102630 588.778784 1332.959211 3318.452405 10185.851846
2026-05-10 80.205788 146.830114 278.628604 582.475103 1345.595026 3438.250310 10961.585364
2026-05-17 77.420645 143.347309 275.663806 586.256026 1384.749250 3641.863593 12114.894835